Donovan Mitchell exploded in the Utah Jazz’s Game 1 win over the Los Angeles Clippers, and he’s truly cementing himself as a star in the NBA.
Mitchell’s 45-point performance on 16-of-30 shooting showed that the Jazz do have the star power to compete with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, and Vegas has upped his player prop for points to 30.5 in Game 2 because of it.
Mitchell is favored to hit the under (-120) on his points projection, but the over (+100) offers some interesting value.
Utah’s All-Star guard has scored over 30 points just once this postseason, but the Clippers ability to keep games close (they lost Game 1 by just three points) bodes well for Mitchell to put up big numbers.
The Jazz were able to handle the Memphis Grizzlies in the first round pretty easily once Mitchell returned in Game 2, so he only played over 30 minutes once in the series.
However, with the Clippers’ star power, Utah needed Mitchell on the floor for 36:52 in Game 1, and I ‘d expect him to get similar usage for the rest of the series.
With the extra playing time, Mitchell took eight more shots than his postseason average of 22.0, and he attempted 15 3-pointers, which is five more than his postseason average of 10.0.
Since Mike Conley is unable to go again in Game 2, the Jazz will need another monster game from Mitchell in order to win. The Clippers are due for some positive regression in terms of their shooting, so we should be in line for another closely contested game tonight.
At +100 odds, I like taking Mitchell to score over 30 points with the Jazz favored to take a 2-0 lead.