Peter King's gut is telling him Aaron Rodgers would rather miss an entire season than play for the Green Bay Packers in 2021.
Vegas seems to agree.
In his ProFootballTalk column today, King said he believes Rodgers would rather sit out the 2021 season than play for Green Bay. He's not the only one as several other noted insiders have suggested Rodgers would retire before playing for the Packers again.
Vegas is starting to come around to the idea as well. In a major update to its Super Bowl odds, WynnBET moved the Packers from +900 to win the 2021 Super Bowl to +1800. And you'll never guess who they're tied with -- the Denver Broncos.
The Broncos are the team most heavily connected with trading for Rodgers currently and one of the teams he's reportedly interested in. His frustration with the Packers stems from their selection of quarterback Jordan Love during the 2020 NFL Draft. Green Bay traded up to draft the apparent successor to Rodgers rather than getting a weapon to help him and the Packers win in 2020, though Packers GM Brian Gutekunst recently said he did try and select a wide receiver.
There were also reports Rodgers wanted a greater say in player personel decision making and that he was upset when the Packers cut wide receiver Jake Kumerow.
The pick of Love inspired Rodgers to prove the Packers wrong, as he went on to win the NFL’s Most Valuable Player award last season.
With Rodgers on the roster, WynnBET currently gives the Packers the fourth-best odds to win the NFC Championship in 2021 at +900 ($100 bet wins $900). They were previously the second favorite behind only the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is another change signaling Vegas foresees a potential move for Rodgers.
It is hard to think the 37-year-old could find himself in a better situation to win the title if he leaves, but the Broncos (+1800 to win the Super Bowl) could be a quarterback away from being a Super Bowl contender. They have a talented roster on both sides of the ball, but we'd have to see who they traded before declaring them true contenders.
While Rodgers could try to force a trade, Green Bay would have to incur a massive cap hit to trade him.
Those numbers alone make it hard for Green Bay to stomach a Rodgers trade, and the fact that he would be on another team competing for the title would be even worse.
If King is right and Rodgers would rather sit out, then it certainly would be a major blow to Green Bay’s title hopes. However, it is possible that the Packers call Rodgers’ bluff and wait for him to give in and play this season.
Rodgers showed last year that he is still in his prime. It's hard to imagine him taking a year away from the game even if he truly doesn’t want to play for Green Bay.
There will eventually be an end to this saga, but the Packers’ desire to keep him and Rodgers’ contract make it seem like a trade will be tough to complete.