MLB Player Props

Matt Harvey Getting Little Respect Against Yankees UPDATE: Harvey Beats Yankees

Jason Schandl
Apr 26, 2021, 10:19 AM EDT
Matt Harvey's odds don't give him much love against the Yankees.
Matt Harvey's odds don't give him much love against the Yankees. | Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

UPDATE: Matt Harvey pitched six innings against the Yankees, striking out 5 and giving up just 1 earned run. He got the win. What follows is the original report from pregame.

Scoring is down across the MLB this season, but don't let New York Yankees fans give you that excuse. Even with this scoring downturn, the Yanks' offense has been egregious, averaging just 3.57 runs per game.

That puts them No. 27 in the MLB.

The runs generated by their power also serves to hide exactly how poorly they've been hitting. As a team they barely clear the Mendoza line, ranking No. 29 with a .206 batting average.

They've also seen nearly a quarter (24.3%) of their hitters strike out.

But Vegas apparently thinks that a matchup with Matt Harvey will cure what ails them. Looking at WynnBET's MLB player prop bets for Monday, the over/under for Harvey's strikeouts in tonight's Yankees-Orioles matchup is set at just 4.5. The under is also a huge favorite, with -170 odds. This means that he's being projected with a 63% chance of finishing with 4 or fewer strikeouts.

The 2021 version of Harvey is obviously a far cry from 2013 All-Star Harvey, or even 2015 Comeback Player of the Year Harvey. But even by his current standards that's a surprisingly low projection in this matchup.

Harvey's only topped 4 strikeouts once in his four starts this season, but he's also made three of those four starts against teams that rank top-13 in scoring, which has led to his pitching 5 innings or fewer in each outing.

And even still, he has hit 4 strikeouts in three of the four, striking out 18.2% of the batters he has faced.

If you think Harvey has anything left in the tank at all, it's easy to like the potential payout (a winning $100 bet would return $130) on the over against the struggling Yankees.